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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.25+4.10vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.86+1.73vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.97+0.65vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.72+2.24vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.21-1.86vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.94-2.37vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.53-0.69vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.99+1.09vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-1.49+0.82vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.31-3.19vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-0.63-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Eckerd College1.250.1%1st Place
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3.73Jacksonville University1.860.2%1st Place
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3.65University of Miami1.970.2%1st Place
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6.24Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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3.14College of Charleston2.210.2%1st Place
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3.63University of South Florida1.940.2%1st Place
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6.31Clemson University0.530.1%1st Place
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9.09Rollins College-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.82North Carolina State University-1.490.0%1st Place
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6.81University of South Carolina0.310.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret MacCormack | 6.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Paula Resto | 16.5% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 16.6% | 16.5% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Darby Reddaway | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 5.4% | 0.6% |
| Liza Toppa | 24.7% | 20.8% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 18.2% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jenn Casey | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Samantha Capozzi | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 30.0% | 26.6% |
| Anneliese Carlson | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 20.9% | 53.1% |
| Keara Paquette | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 9.1% | 3.0% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 22.4% | 26.0% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.