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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+5.16vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+3.91vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+6.25vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+5.20vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+3.69vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+0.69vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.82+4.12vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.24+1.45vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.33-3.31vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-0.72vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.35-5.39vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.32+0.56vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.18-6.88vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-4.99vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.13-4.92vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.45Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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5.69Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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5.61Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.56Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.12Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.01Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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11.18Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Haig | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% |
| Talia Toland | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 14.9% |
| Claire Havig | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 34.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.