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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+5.06vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+3.90vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+5.69vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+5.29vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+0.75vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.15+0.43vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.24+2.64vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-2.48vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.32+3.56vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.40-0.89vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-1.76vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.82-0.98vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.13-3.06vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.06-7.58vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.36-5.74vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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5.75Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.43Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.64Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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5.52Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.56Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.26Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.18Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emily Haig | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 4.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Claire Havig | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 13.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 30.3% |
| Talia Toland | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 16.3% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.