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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+5.20vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+4.12vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+2.62vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.10vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.32+7.69vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+3.11vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.82+4.15vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.82+2.96vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.50-0.41vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.06-3.35vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-1.77vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-2.85vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-3.90vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.33-8.43vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.13-4.94vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.24-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.12Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.62Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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12.69Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.15Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.96Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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5.57Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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9.7Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emily Haig | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 32.6% |
| Talia Toland | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 17.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 14.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 6.4% |
| Claire Havig | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.