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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+5.07vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+7.06vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+3.26vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+1.71vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+1.60vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.24+3.67vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.33-1.20vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.40+0.89vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.50-0.39vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.82+1.17vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-5.05vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-2.85vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.82-1.92vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.32-1.46vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.61vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.13-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.26Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.71Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.6Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.67Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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5.8Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.61Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.17Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.08Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.54Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Claire Havig | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Talia Toland | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 12.6% |
| Emily Haig | 11.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 15.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 32.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.