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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+5.24vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+4.12vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+2.70vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+2.75vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+3.72vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35-0.29vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.82+4.12vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-2.20vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.32+3.57vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.24-0.32vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-1.85vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.13-2.02vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.40-4.05vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-4.96vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.82-3.82vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.12Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.7Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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5.71Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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12.57Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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9.68Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.04Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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11.18Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 16.6% |
| Emily Haig | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 30.8% |
| Claire Havig | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% |
| Talia Toland | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 14.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.