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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+5.29vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+4.07vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+5.93vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+1.57vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.36+3.96vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33-0.37vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-1.14vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.82+2.73vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.14+3.83vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.18-3.94vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.40-2.21vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.50-3.63vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.32-0.65vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.82-3.33vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.91vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.13-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.07Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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5.57Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.96Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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5.63Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.73Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.83Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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6.06Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.35Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.67Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 32.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 18.3% | 25.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 9.8% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.