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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+5.32vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.55vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+2.99vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+5.17vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.14+7.90vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+2.95vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.82+3.88vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.36+0.76vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.23vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.32+2.42vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.15-4.81vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.40-3.21vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.50-4.68vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.13-4.42vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.82-4.10vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.35-10.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.55Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.99Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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12.9Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.95University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.88Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.76Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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5.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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12.42Connecticut College1.320.0%1st Place
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6.19Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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10.9Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.53Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 33.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Emily Haig | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 19.1% | 25.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Talia Toland | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 9.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.