Race 13A

victorian-urn

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Maia Agerup 12.6% 12.3% 11.6% 10.1% 10.4% 9.3% 7.4% 6.1% 6.5% 4.3% 3.3% 2.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Hannah Steadman 10.8% 11.9% 10.5% 8.5% 8.0% 7.9% 8.4% 7.0% 6.8% 5.0% 5.2% 4.8% 3.1% 1.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Audrey Giblin 9.2% 9.4% 7.7% 8.6% 8.9% 8.1% 9.7% 9.0% 7.3% 5.7% 5.2% 4.9% 2.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.3%
Teagan Cunningham 1.0% 1.0% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 1.8% 2.3% 3.0% 3.2% 3.3% 5.0% 5.5% 6.3% 9.2% 15.8% 36.4%
Sophia Reineke 9.5% 10.3% 8.6% 10.4% 9.5% 9.0% 7.0% 8.1% 7.7% 6.2% 4.0% 4.2% 2.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Emily Haig 10.0% 10.9% 11.5% 10.6% 8.9% 8.4% 8.7% 6.4% 6.2% 5.5% 3.9% 3.5% 2.4% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Louisa Nordstrom 13.4% 10.1% 9.6% 11.6% 7.9% 8.5% 8.0% 7.5% 7.0% 4.1% 4.8% 4.4% 1.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Talia Toland 4.5% 5.4% 5.7% 5.1% 6.7% 7.0% 5.8% 6.9% 7.1% 7.3% 7.5% 8.2% 8.6% 7.3% 4.4% 2.5%
Delaney Bamford 4.7% 4.9% 4.5% 5.5% 5.2% 5.5% 7.0% 6.3% 8.4% 8.5% 7.6% 7.6% 7.8% 6.9% 6.6% 3.0%
Kelsey Shakin 4.2% 4.2% 6.4% 4.3% 4.1% 6.1% 6.6% 6.7% 6.6% 9.3% 9.9% 8.8% 7.8% 7.2% 5.0% 2.8%
Grace Vincens 2.8% 3.0% 2.9% 3.4% 4.2% 4.9% 3.2% 4.0% 4.4% 7.1% 7.0% 7.4% 10.4% 12.0% 12.3% 11.0%
Lucy Wilmot 5.3% 5.6% 5.2% 6.8% 6.8% 5.9% 6.7% 7.0% 6.0% 8.5% 7.4% 7.4% 7.2% 6.4% 5.3% 2.5%
Madelynn Widmeier 4.0% 4.1% 6.3% 4.7% 5.1% 6.2% 7.2% 6.5% 6.3% 8.3% 8.7% 7.4% 9.0% 7.2% 5.8% 3.2%
AnaLucia Clarkson 2.0% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 2.8% 3.0% 2.0% 4.1% 4.1% 4.3% 6.0% 5.8% 8.7% 12.8% 16.4% 23.6%
Carolyn Corbet 3.0% 2.0% 2.2% 2.8% 3.7% 4.2% 4.3% 4.6% 5.6% 6.2% 6.4% 8.2% 10.5% 12.6% 14.0% 9.7%
Lolly Vasilion 3.0% 3.6% 4.1% 4.0% 5.3% 4.2% 5.7% 6.8% 6.8% 6.4% 8.1% 9.5% 10.2% 8.3% 9.4% 4.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.