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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.07vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+2.24vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.49+3.93vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+0.87vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.52+5.43vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.12+2.33vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.34+4.00vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.90+0.89vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.64+0.84vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.02-4.71vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.10+0.60vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-5.58vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.15-4.94vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-3.32vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.75-5.36vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.35-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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4.24Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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4.87Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.43Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.33Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.0Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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9.84Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.29Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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11.6Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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6.42Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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9.64Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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13.73Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 19.6% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 13.6% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 5.6% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Madeline Pope | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 10.2% |
| Emma Marston | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 15.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 8.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Alexandra Wagner | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 15.5% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.