Race 5B

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marcus Greco 32.0% 26.5% 20.8% 10.4% 6.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Kayla Maguire 7.9% 8.0% 11.5% 12.8% 14.4% 14.3% 13.6% 10.8% 5.5% 1.1%
Defne Melikoglu 28.5% 27.2% 18.2% 14.1% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Bryce Nill 7.8% 10.6% 13.5% 14.7% 15.2% 15.4% 11.5% 7.7% 2.9% 0.7%
Josh Elliott 8.0% 8.5% 10.8% 12.2% 16.0% 15.7% 14.5% 9.0% 4.2% 1.1%
Elizabeth Price 5.0% 6.2% 7.3% 11.7% 12.5% 14.8% 16.2% 14.8% 9.2% 2.3%
Nicholas Gould 1.7% 2.3% 4.0% 5.8% 6.5% 8.9% 11.7% 19.8% 23.9% 15.6%
Joseph Simpkins 6.9% 6.9% 10.2% 13.3% 14.2% 14.8% 15.4% 10.7% 5.8% 1.8%
Finn Halstead 1.2% 2.1% 1.8% 2.4% 3.1% 4.8% 7.0% 11.7% 21.4% 44.5%
Gus Hankinson 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.6% 4.2% 5.5% 8.3% 14.9% 26.8% 32.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.