Race 4B

victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Isabella Loosbrock 15.5% 14.0% 13.9% 11.7% 9.6% 9.2% 7.6% 4.1% 5.5% 4.1% 2.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Sophie Hibben 12.3% 13.7% 12.3% 10.9% 9.0% 8.3% 8.1% 6.9% 5.6% 4.9% 3.5% 1.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Christine Klingler 18.8% 13.8% 14.2% 13.3% 10.0% 10.0% 7.0% 4.7% 3.0% 2.1% 1.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Charlotte Lenz 2.1% 2.9% 2.8% 3.1% 5.5% 3.8% 4.5% 5.5% 6.2% 7.1% 7.0% 10.6% 9.2% 11.3% 10.6% 7.8%
Kelsey Slack 3.4% 3.6% 3.5% 4.7% 4.0% 4.7% 7.4% 6.5% 7.5% 7.4% 7.8% 9.0% 9.6% 9.8% 8.1% 3.0%
Grace Mooradian 4.3% 3.6% 6.3% 7.3% 7.0% 8.4% 6.0% 6.7% 9.4% 7.3% 8.4% 7.3% 7.0% 5.5% 4.2% 1.3%
Kathryn Hall 7.6% 8.1% 7.3% 7.0% 7.5% 8.5% 8.9% 8.4% 7.5% 7.4% 7.1% 6.6% 4.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4%
Rebecca Read 4.6% 6.2% 6.6% 5.6% 7.9% 5.6% 8.0% 8.7% 7.4% 8.1% 8.9% 7.6% 5.0% 6.3% 2.6% 0.9%
Lucie Ford 1.9% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.8% 3.3% 3.7% 5.0% 6.8% 6.6% 8.3% 11.4% 11.5% 15.7% 13.8%
Taylor Gavula 8.4% 8.2% 7.3% 9.4% 9.0% 9.6% 9.4% 9.3% 8.0% 7.0% 5.4% 3.7% 2.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Darden Purrington 2.6% 2.8% 2.9% 2.6% 3.6% 4.2% 4.2% 4.8% 4.7% 7.6% 6.7% 9.0% 10.7% 10.4% 14.9% 8.3%
Victoria Pajak 2.9% 3.6% 3.5% 3.7% 5.0% 5.0% 5.2% 7.4% 6.7% 5.9% 8.1% 8.2% 9.9% 9.7% 9.9% 5.3%
Annie Hughes 8.6% 9.5% 10.0% 9.1% 9.4% 9.2% 7.7% 9.9% 6.9% 6.2% 5.1% 3.9% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Madeline Pope 2.6% 1.9% 3.0% 2.9% 3.2% 4.3% 4.9% 4.2% 5.6% 7.1% 8.2% 8.8% 10.3% 11.5% 11.0% 10.5%
Alexandra Wagner 1.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.4% 1.8% 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 2.1% 2.4% 3.9% 5.0% 7.2% 9.6% 13.9% 46.2%
Emma Marston 3.2% 4.3% 3.6% 6.0% 5.2% 5.1% 6.3% 7.7% 8.9% 8.6% 8.9% 8.6% 7.9% 7.8% 5.4% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.