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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.49+5.82vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.02+3.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+1.23vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.12+4.41vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.22vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.52+4.34vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65-0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.90+0.88vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.15-0.97vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.64-0.03vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-6.22vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.34-1.11vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.75-3.53vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-3.29vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.35-1.29vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.10-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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5.28Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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4.23Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.41Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.34Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.53Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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9.97Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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4.78Boston College3.200.2%1st Place
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10.89Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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9.47Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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13.71Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
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11.75Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathryn Hall | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 18.0% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Marston | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 15.3% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 10.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Darden Purrington | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% |
| Alexandra Wagner | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 15.9% | 45.8% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.