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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+4.19vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.20vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+3.48vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+0.40vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20-0.18vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.49+1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.90+2.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+2.80vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.15-0.83vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.12-1.65vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.64-1.10vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.35+1.62vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-4.41vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.52-3.73vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-3.15vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.34-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.48Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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4.4Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.82Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.35Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.9Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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13.62Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
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8.59Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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10.27Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.85Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.08Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 17.0% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 13.6% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 6.2% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Emma Marston | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 9.3% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% |
| Alexandra Wagner | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 46.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 14.9% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.