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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+3.75vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.65+4.48vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02+1.47vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.64+5.09vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.49+1.11vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.15+1.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+2.84vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.77+0.53vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03-1.31vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.38-6.73vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.12-3.67vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.90-3.86vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.35-0.33vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-3.10vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.34-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.48Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.47Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.09Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.69Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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4.27Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.33Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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13.67Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
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11.9Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.11Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 14.5% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Kathryn Hall | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 9.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 19.8% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Emma Marston | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Alexandra Wagner | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 45.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 16.5% |
| Madeline Pope | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.