← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.65+5.40vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.28vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.15+5.24vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.20+0.98vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.02+0.36vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.38-1.60vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.34+4.13vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.64+1.93vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.12-0.73vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.03-1.24vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont1.90-1.90vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College2.49-4.91vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University1.10-1.25vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.77-4.54vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-3.94vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College0.35-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.4Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
6.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
8.24University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
-
4.98Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
5.36Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
-
4.4Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
-
11.13Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
-
9.93Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
-
8.27Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
-
8.76Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
-
9.1University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
-
7.09Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
-
11.75Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
-
9.46Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
11.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
-
13.78Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 13.0% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.9% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 11.6% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Emma Marston | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Kathryn Hall | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 14.8% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 8.9% |
| Alexandra Wagner | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 15.2% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.