Race 6B

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kayla Maguire 7.3% 8.3% 10.9% 12.3% 15.2% 14.6% 14.3% 11.5% 4.7% 0.9%
Defne Melikoglu 31.7% 23.5% 19.2% 13.4% 7.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Price 5.1% 5.3% 9.4% 10.9% 13.4% 15.0% 16.4% 14.2% 8.4% 1.8%
Marcus Greco 29.6% 28.6% 18.4% 13.3% 5.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Nill 9.6% 11.2% 13.6% 13.2% 14.8% 14.8% 11.9% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8%
Josh Elliott 6.6% 10.2% 11.1% 14.4% 15.6% 15.3% 12.8% 8.9% 4.2% 0.8%
Nicholas Gould 1.9% 2.1% 3.5% 4.4% 5.9% 8.6% 11.1% 21.4% 24.6% 16.4%
Joseph Simpkins 6.5% 7.4% 9.7% 12.6% 14.4% 14.3% 15.6% 11.6% 6.2% 1.8%
Gus Hankinson 1.1% 1.6% 2.2% 3.1% 4.6% 6.0% 8.6% 13.0% 27.4% 32.5%
Finn Halstead 0.6% 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% 3.5% 4.5% 7.0% 11.6% 21.7% 45.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.