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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+9.68vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.72+6.89vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.80+5.62vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.89+3.88vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.14+1.97vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+1.02vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.90vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.14+2.76vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.89+2.75vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-3.24vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.81-6.04vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia2.12-0.75vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.30-6.61vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.95-6.51vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.26-1.07vs Predicted
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16Queen's University1.89-4.10vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.69-1.45vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.68University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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8.89George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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7.88Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.97Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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6.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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10.76SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.75Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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6.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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4.96Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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11.25University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.49Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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13.93Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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11.9Queen's University1.890.0%1st Place
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15.55Hampton University0.690.0%1st Place
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14.11Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 9.5% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 15.6% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Parker Loftus | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Paul Hart | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 18.2% |
| Scott Gittens | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 5.9% |
| Elisabeth Kuester | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 17.4% | 43.3% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.