Race 7B

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marcus Greco 32.1% 26.5% 19.2% 11.7% 6.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Kayla Maguire 7.2% 8.6% 11.1% 12.5% 15.2% 16.5% 13.9% 10.0% 4.2% 0.8%
Defne Melikoglu 29.1% 27.2% 20.2% 12.2% 6.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Joseph Simpkins 6.7% 8.0% 10.3% 13.4% 12.4% 14.7% 15.0% 11.8% 6.1% 1.6%
Bryce Nill 9.0% 10.1% 12.0% 16.6% 15.0% 14.0% 11.9% 7.8% 3.1% 0.5%
Elizabeth Price 4.7% 5.8% 8.2% 11.6% 13.3% 14.0% 15.9% 15.2% 8.2% 3.1%
Josh Elliott 6.3% 8.6% 11.9% 12.2% 17.6% 15.7% 13.4% 8.6% 4.2% 1.4%
Nicholas Gould 2.8% 2.1% 3.4% 5.5% 5.5% 9.3% 13.0% 19.9% 23.2% 15.3%
Gus Hankinson 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 2.6% 4.3% 5.9% 8.4% 14.6% 27.2% 32.7%
Finn Halstead 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 3.5% 4.4% 6.2% 11.2% 23.8% 44.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.