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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+7.21vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.95+6.01vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14+4.30vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26+6.38vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.72+3.70vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.30+0.58vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.33vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.69+3.58vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.81-5.04vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.89+0.96vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia2.12-0.61vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.16vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-7.18vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.25-4.52vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-9.79vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.11-2.47vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.26-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.01Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
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7.3Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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10.38Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.7George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.33University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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12.58SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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4.96Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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11.96Queen's University1.890.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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14.16Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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10.48University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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6.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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14.53Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
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13.85Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Parker Loftus | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 9.2% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Hunter Kahler | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 7.7% |
| Sean Segerblom | 16.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% |
| Colin Suvak | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 24.8% |
| Carrson Pearce | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 29.0% |
| Paul Hart | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.