← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College1.71+4.95vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+8.28vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island0.12+8.62vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.17+0.89vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.97+0.84vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College1.84-0.20vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+2.28vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-0.26vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.01-0.07vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.22-1.01vs Predicted
-
11Brown University1.85-4.22vs Predicted
-
12Boston College-0.06+0.25vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont0.24-1.55vs Predicted
-
14Boston University-0.48-0.48vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.15-7.20vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University0.49-4.95vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.95Dartmouth College1.7110.8%1st Place
-
10.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.0%1st Place
-
11.62University of Rhode Island0.122.4%1st Place
-
4.89Harvard University2.1714.8%1st Place
-
5.84Roger Williams University1.9710.8%1st Place
-
5.8Bowdoin College1.8411.1%1st Place
-
9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.0%1st Place
-
7.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.7%1st Place
-
8.93Tufts University1.015.1%1st Place
-
8.99Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
-
6.78Brown University1.858.6%1st Place
-
12.25Boston College-0.061.7%1st Place
-
11.45University of Vermont0.241.8%1st Place
-
13.52Boston University-0.480.9%1st Place
-
7.8Tufts University1.156.6%1st Place
-
11.05Roger Williams University0.492.5%1st Place
-
10.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.8% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Emma Wang | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 16.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 31.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.