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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Brown University3.40+2.62vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.28+1.82vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.05-0.75vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy2.20+2.42vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35-1.29vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut2.51-0.30vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.07-1.39vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.39-5.43vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.64-0.61vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.74-1.79vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.39-3.81vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.48-9.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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4.82Yale University3.280.1%1st Place
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3.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.050.2%1st Place
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7.42Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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4.71Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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7.61Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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4.57University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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10.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.640.0%1st Place
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10.21Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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9.19Northeastern University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.51Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Osvalds | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Jackson | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tanya Cuprak | 23.6% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 2.4% |
| Matt Johnson | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean Andrew | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Robert Keller | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 3.9% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 14.5% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Morrissey | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 24.5% | 39.4% |
| Christopher Calahan | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 25.7% | 36.5% |
| Marshall McLean | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 22.6% | 15.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.