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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.94+1.47vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+3.15vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.89-0.46vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-0.70+1.30vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55+0.08vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-0.89-0.36vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-0.45-2.34vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-1.78-0.61vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-2.34-0.76vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.54-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Cornell University0.9432.9%1st Place
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5.15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.646.3%1st Place
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2.54Queen's University0.8931.6%1st Place
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5.3Penn State University-0.706.6%1st Place
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5.08Rochester Institute of Technology-0.556.1%1st Place
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5.64Hamilton College-0.894.6%1st Place
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4.66Penn State Behrend-0.457.9%1st Place
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7.39University of Rochester-1.781.4%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Military Academy-2.341.4%1st Place
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8.53Syracuse University-2.541.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Greco | 32.9% | 25.8% | 18.6% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Defne Melikoglu | 31.6% | 25.7% | 18.4% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Josh Elliott | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Price | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 8.2% | 1.8% |
| Bryce Nill | 7.9% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Gould | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 24.3% | 15.3% |
| Gus Hankinson | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 25.9% | 35.3% |
| Finn Halstead | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 23.9% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.