Race 9A

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
William Peterson 22.7% 19.1% 15.9% 12.9% 10.8% 7.0% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Pokras 18.9% 17.8% 15.3% 14.0% 10.5% 8.6% 6.9% 3.7% 2.3% 0.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Porter 6.4% 8.8% 10.4% 9.6% 10.7% 10.5% 10.6% 10.4% 8.9% 5.6% 5.0% 2.0% 1.1%
Hannah Tuson-Turner 13.0% 13.9% 13.7% 12.8% 11.3% 11.4% 7.2% 7.3% 5.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Matt Wenner 5.6% 5.0% 5.9% 7.1% 7.8% 7.7% 8.2% 11.3% 10.0% 10.8% 9.0% 8.7% 2.9%
Thomas Maher 2.3% 2.8% 4.4% 4.1% 4.5% 5.9% 7.8% 6.1% 11.2% 11.8% 12.4% 15.8% 10.9%
Stephen Lue 12.7% 12.3% 10.9% 10.9% 12.0% 11.2% 9.6% 7.1% 5.2% 4.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Bryan Rust 4.1% 3.9% 4.8% 4.6% 5.7% 7.6% 7.1% 9.6% 12.4% 11.0% 12.3% 10.5% 6.4%
Kelsey Rupp 6.2% 5.7% 7.0% 10.0% 7.9% 9.6% 10.3% 11.7% 9.0% 9.5% 6.8% 4.3% 2.0%
John Olson 2.2% 3.0% 3.2% 2.5% 4.5% 5.0% 6.8% 6.6% 8.7% 11.4% 13.7% 15.1% 17.3%
Erika Vranizan 2.9% 3.1% 4.4% 5.2% 7.2% 5.7% 8.1% 9.8% 11.0% 11.3% 12.0% 11.1% 8.2%
Connor Bescos 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 2.3% 2.9% 3.3% 4.7% 4.8% 5.6% 7.9% 10.4% 16.8% 37.7%
Alicia Bernhard 2.0% 3.3% 2.8% 4.0% 4.2% 6.5% 7.0% 8.5% 9.2% 11.9% 13.2% 14.2% 13.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.