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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+4.08vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+2.73vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.16+3.34vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.08+9.02vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+3.86vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.53-1.94vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.05+1.96vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.12-2.67vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77-2.27vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.33+1.43vs Predicted
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12Queen's University1.45+0.27vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.32-4.03vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.82-6.85vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University2.31-5.91vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+0.37vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.23-1.69vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia0.55-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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4.73Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.34Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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13.02Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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5.06Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.96SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.73Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.43Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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12.27Queen's University1.450.0%1st Place
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8.97George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.15Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.09Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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16.37Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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15.31Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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14.37University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 13.1% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 11.4% | 5.6% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Andy Reiter | 14.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| William Bruce | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 2.3% |
| Wade Wagner | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Wiggins | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 19.3% | 50.9% |
| Andrew Vernon | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 23.5% | 26.1% |
| Trent Levy | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 22.6% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.