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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.16+5.40vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.96vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.82+4.53vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.08+9.02vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.55+9.41vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.05+4.03vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-0.13vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.53-3.01vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.31+0.10vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.69-5.20vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77-3.33vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.12-5.32vs Predicted
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13Queen's University1.45-1.09vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-4.46vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.32-5.95vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+0.32vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.33-4.46vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.23-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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4.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.53Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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13.02Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.41University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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10.03SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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6.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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4.99Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.1Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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4.8Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.67Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.68University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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11.91Queen's University1.450.0%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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9.05George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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16.32Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.54Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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15.17Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Stevens | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 11.5% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 5.9% |
| Trent Levy | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 21.7% | 14.6% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Lewis Cooper | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andy Reiter | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| JC Hermus | 14.9% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Wade Wagner | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 20.4% | 49.8% |
| Zane Tinnell | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 18.7% | 24.9% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.