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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+4.10vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.77+5.66vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.12+3.48vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.31+5.01vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.32+4.02vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.82+1.37vs Predicted
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73.69-2.38vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia0.55+6.45vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.53-3.99vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-2.88vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.08+2.20vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-1.93vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.15vs Predicted
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14Queen's University1.45-2.23vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+1.34vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.23-0.71vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.16-10.65vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute1.33-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.66Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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9.01Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.02George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.37Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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4.623.690.2%1st Place
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14.45University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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5.01Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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13.2Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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9.85SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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11.77Queen's University1.450.0%1st Place
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16.34Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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15.29Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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6.35Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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12.29Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 15.7% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trent Levy | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 22.8% | 14.7% |
| Andy Reiter | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 5.9% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| William Bruce | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Alex Wiggins | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 20.9% | 48.1% |
| Andrew Vernon | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 24.1% | 24.7% |
| Roberto Stevens | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.