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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+4.31vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+5.16vs Predicted
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33.69+1.75vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.45+8.06vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.33+7.44vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.06vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.82+0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.12-1.65vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.16-2.77vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+0.10vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.08+2.44vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.05-1.56vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.31-3.91vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+2.38vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.32-5.90vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.77-8.43vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.98-3.27vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.60-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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4.753.690.1%1st Place
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12.06Queen's University1.450.0%1st Place
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12.44Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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4.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.44Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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6.23Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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13.44Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.44SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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9.09Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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16.38Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.1George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.57Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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13.73University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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14.46Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| JC Hermus | 14.0% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 3.6% |
| Zane Tinnell | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 5.5% |
| Charles Miller | 14.7% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 9.9% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Alex Wiggins | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 55.3% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 9.4% |
| Henry Proud | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 24.0% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.