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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+4.15vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+2.74vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+7.16vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.53+1.12vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.08+8.16vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.03vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.33+5.52vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.45+4.07vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77-1.38vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.16-3.46vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.12-4.43vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University2.31-2.49vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.68-5.23vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.55+0.50vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.05-4.94vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.82-8.49vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.60-2.31vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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4.74Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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5.12Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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13.16Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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12.52Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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12.07Queen's University1.450.0%1st Place
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7.62Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.54Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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9.51Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.77George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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14.5University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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10.06SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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7.51Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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14.69Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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16.28Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 12.9% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Andy Reiter | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 7.8% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 4.5% |
| William Bruce | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 2.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Matt Logue | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Trent Levy | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 20.8% | 16.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 23.7% | 16.9% |
| Alex Wiggins | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.