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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+9.10vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+2.81vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.16+3.44vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.08+9.21vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.12+1.43vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.31+3.24vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-2.07vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.82-0.66vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.68-1.06vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.53-4.65vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77-3.17vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+4.55vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-6.02vs Predicted
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14Queen's University1.45-2.06vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.05-4.89vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.33-3.34vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.60-2.39vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia0.55-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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4.81Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.44Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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13.21Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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9.24Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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4.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.34Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.94George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.35Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.83Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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16.55Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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6.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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11.94Queen's University1.450.0%1st Place
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10.11SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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12.66Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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14.61Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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14.53University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| JC Hermus | 13.3% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 6.1% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 9.1% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 12.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Wiggins | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 17.1% | 55.9% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 2.2% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Zane Tinnell | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 3.2% |
| Henry Proud | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 23.8% | 15.3% |
| Trent Levy | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.