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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+6.11vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+2.67vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.53+2.21vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.82+3.28vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.12+1.29vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.45+6.13vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.68+0.84vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.60+6.47vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.33+3.48vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.16-3.53vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.50-2.38vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-6.78vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.31-3.98vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+2.33vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.05-4.95vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.55-1.28vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-7.06vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.08-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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4.67Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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5.21Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.28Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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12.13Queen's University1.450.0%1st Place
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7.84George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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14.47Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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12.48Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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6.47Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.62Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.02Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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16.33Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.05SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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14.72University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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13.13Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 13.2% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Matt Logue | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Proud | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 21.9% | 16.6% |
| Zane Tinnell | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
| Roberto Stevens | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Charles Miller | 14.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Alex Wiggins | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 18.0% | 52.1% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Trent Levy | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 23.2% | 18.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.