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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+4.14vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+5.17vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.16+3.34vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.53+1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.12+1.35vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.82+1.32vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.31+2.17vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.69-3.44vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.68-1.19vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.50-1.27vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.08+2.28vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.55+2.91vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.33-0.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-4.38vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.60-0.47vs Predicted
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16Queen's University1.45-3.78vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.05-6.76vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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6.34Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.06Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.32Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.17Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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4.56Georgetown University3.690.2%1st Place
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7.81George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.73Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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13.28Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.91University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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12.3Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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14.53Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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12.22Queen's University1.450.0%1st Place
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10.24SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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16.25Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 14.1% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| JC Hermus | 15.2% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 6.9% |
| Trent Levy | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 22.8% | 20.1% |
| Zane Tinnell | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 3.2% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Henry Proud | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 18.8% | 21.8% | 14.3% |
| William Bruce | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Alex Wiggins | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 19.7% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.