Race 10A

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hannah Tuson-Turner 14.5% 12.0% 14.0% 12.9% 12.3% 9.5% 8.3% 7.5% 3.4% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
William Peterson 21.3% 19.4% 17.2% 14.0% 10.4% 6.4% 5.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
John Olson 2.1% 2.4% 1.9% 2.9% 4.0% 5.4% 7.9% 7.9% 8.9% 10.3% 14.2% 14.9% 17.2%
Adam Pokras 18.3% 17.2% 17.4% 12.7% 10.8% 9.1% 6.6% 3.9% 2.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Jack Porter 8.4% 9.5% 9.1% 11.7% 8.9% 10.8% 9.7% 9.9% 8.0% 6.6% 4.7% 2.2% 0.5%
Stephen Lue 11.1% 13.3% 12.2% 11.7% 11.6% 11.0% 8.0% 7.5% 6.0% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.4%
Alicia Bernhard 3.8% 2.9% 3.1% 5.2% 5.2% 5.1% 7.5% 7.4% 10.6% 10.7% 13.1% 15.2% 10.2%
Matt Wenner 4.7% 5.6% 4.9% 6.1% 7.4% 9.2% 9.8% 10.7% 11.5% 10.7% 9.5% 6.5% 3.4%
Erika Vranizan 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 4.7% 5.6% 6.2% 6.7% 9.5% 10.5% 12.1% 11.4% 12.0% 11.4%
Kelsey Rupp 7.2% 5.9% 7.9% 6.5% 11.1% 9.9% 10.4% 10.6% 9.5% 6.5% 7.3% 4.3% 2.9%
Connor Bescos 1.2% 0.9% 1.9% 2.7% 3.0% 3.3% 5.2% 5.4% 6.5% 9.3% 11.7% 15.7% 33.2%
Thomas Maher 1.9% 3.3% 2.8% 4.3% 4.1% 6.5% 6.8% 8.1% 8.9% 12.4% 12.5% 15.0% 13.4%
Bryan Rust 2.6% 3.9% 4.3% 4.6% 5.6% 7.6% 7.8% 8.4% 12.7% 11.3% 11.4% 12.4% 7.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.