Race 9B

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marcus Greco 33.0% 26.4% 18.9% 11.8% 5.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Kayla Maguire 7.2% 8.6% 10.3% 13.9% 15.3% 15.7% 13.8% 9.4% 4.9% 0.9%
Defne Melikoglu 28.6% 27.0% 20.2% 12.1% 6.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Josh Elliott 7.4% 8.0% 11.3% 13.1% 15.6% 14.9% 13.8% 10.6% 4.9% 0.5%
Joseph Simpkins 6.1% 9.7% 10.1% 12.0% 13.7% 14.9% 15.3% 10.8% 5.5% 2.0%
Nicholas Gould 2.2% 2.1% 3.5% 5.4% 6.5% 7.7% 12.8% 21.6% 22.4% 15.8%
Elizabeth Price 5.9% 6.7% 8.0% 9.8% 13.4% 14.5% 16.7% 13.6% 9.1% 2.5%
Bryce Nill 7.3% 9.4% 14.0% 15.7% 14.8% 16.0% 11.7% 7.7% 2.8% 0.8%
Gus Hankinson 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 3.7% 5.3% 5.5% 7.6% 13.1% 27.2% 33.6%
Finn Halstead 1.5% 0.8% 1.8% 2.4% 3.5% 4.0% 6.2% 12.6% 23.3% 44.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.