← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+4.08vs Predicted
-
23.69+2.77vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.53+2.26vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania3.12+2.33vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University3.16+1.25vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.68+1.98vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.50+1.57vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.82-0.70vs Predicted
-
9University of Virginia0.98+4.65vs Predicted
-
10Hampton University1.08+3.53vs Predicted
-
11Queen's University1.45+1.27vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-4.69vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University2.31-3.89vs Predicted
-
14Webb Institute1.33-1.65vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-5.12vs Predicted
-
16Washington College0.60-1.33vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College2.05-6.67vs Predicted
-
18Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
4.773.690.1%1st Place
-
5.26Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
-
6.33University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
-
6.25Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
7.98George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
-
8.57Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
-
7.3Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
-
13.65University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
-
13.53Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
12.27Queen's University1.450.0%1st Place
-
7.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
-
9.11Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
-
12.35Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
-
9.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
-
14.67Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
-
10.33SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
-
16.33Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 12.6% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 12.8% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 8.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 8.0% |
| William Bruce | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Zane Tinnell | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 4.4% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Henry Proud | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 23.5% | 18.1% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Alex Wiggins | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 16.9% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.