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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.82+6.59vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.53+3.27vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.12+3.53vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.68+3.84vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.16+1.32vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.45+6.18vs Predicted
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73.69-2.36vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.05+2.07vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.08+4.36vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-4.85vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.31-1.59vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.98+1.86vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-6.12vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-4.39vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.50-6.42vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.60-1.34vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.33-4.32vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.27Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.84George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.32Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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12.18Queen's University1.450.0%1st Place
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4.643.690.2%1st Place
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10.07SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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13.36Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.41Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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13.86University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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6.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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8.58Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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14.66Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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12.68Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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16.36Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 3.7% |
| JC Hermus | 15.3% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 6.2% |
| Charles Miller | 13.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 9.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Henry Proud | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 21.6% | 18.2% |
| Zane Tinnell | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 4.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.