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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+4.30vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.16+4.43vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.08+10.54vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.93vs Predicted
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53.69-0.35vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.45+6.23vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.82+0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.12-1.70vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-2.14vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+0.06vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.68-2.96vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.50-3.11vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.05-2.96vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.33-1.68vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University2.31-5.81vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.60-1.31vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.98-3.28vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.43Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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13.54Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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4.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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4.653.690.2%1st Place
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12.23Queen's University1.450.0%1st Place
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7.43Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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6.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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8.04George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.89Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.04SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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12.32Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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9.19Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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14.69Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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13.72University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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16.36Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 7.8% |
| Charles Miller | 14.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 18.0% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 3.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Matt Logue | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Zane Tinnell | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 4.3% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Henry Proud | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 24.7% | 17.6% |
| Katarina Catallo | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 9.5% |
| Alex Wiggins | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.