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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+4.31vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.68+6.16vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.16+3.46vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.12+2.34vs Predicted
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53.69-0.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+3.93vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-2.05vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.08+5.18vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77-1.43vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-2.77vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.05-0.72vs Predicted
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12Queen's University1.45+0.43vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-5.66vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.33-1.68vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.60-0.44vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.31-6.72vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.55-2.25vs Predicted
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18Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.16George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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6.46Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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4.633.690.2%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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4.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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13.18Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.57Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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10.28SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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12.43Queen's University1.450.0%1st Place
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7.34Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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12.32Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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14.56Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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9.28Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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14.75University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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16.27Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Roberto Stevens | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 17.2% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Charles Miller | 13.4% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 6.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| William Bruce | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| Henry Proud | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 21.0% | 16.1% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Trent Levy | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 24.8% | 17.1% |
| Alex Wiggins | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 19.5% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.