Race 4A

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ryder Easterlin 14.9% 13.7% 14.3% 12.9% 13.4% 10.9% 8.1% 5.8% 3.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Carl Eaton 10.1% 9.4% 12.5% 11.0% 12.7% 10.9% 10.3% 9.1% 8.4% 3.5% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Christian Cyrul 14.6% 13.1% 14.2% 15.4% 12.1% 9.6% 9.6% 5.6% 3.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Justin Falconer 5.2% 7.1% 7.1% 8.3% 8.6% 10.7% 11.5% 14.1% 11.0% 9.8% 5.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Jenna Probst 17.0% 17.3% 14.0% 11.6% 11.8% 10.5% 9.4% 4.3% 2.4% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jonathan Bailey 18.3% 17.7% 14.5% 13.2% 10.7% 9.3% 7.6% 4.1% 2.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam Walz 7.8% 8.1% 8.7% 9.0% 8.7% 10.4% 11.8% 13.3% 9.9% 6.6% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Brian Pribe 1.2% 2.2% 2.8% 2.1% 3.2% 4.0% 5.0% 6.6% 10.9% 17.5% 25.8% 15.8% 2.9%
Tye Rubin 4.5% 4.5% 5.1% 6.5% 7.6% 7.5% 9.9% 15.3% 13.3% 13.1% 9.9% 2.2% 0.6%
Rishab Nayar 4.6% 4.4% 4.1% 6.4% 6.5% 8.5% 10.4% 11.7% 15.2% 14.4% 9.4% 3.6% 0.8%
Karl Wagerson 1.3% 1.4% 2.2% 2.6% 3.7% 5.0% 4.3% 6.9% 12.4% 19.8% 21.6% 15.0% 3.8%
Joshua Spano 0.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 1.5% 1.9% 4.9% 6.0% 14.7% 39.2% 26.7%
Justin Edick 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.8% 0.6% 1.3% 1.6% 3.0% 4.8% 22.0% 65.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.