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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.57+3.95vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.72+5.04vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.29+6.44vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.24+1.79vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.61+2.21vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.09-2.26vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois1.04-0.81vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.03-5.18vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University1.18-4.06vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.95-6.94vs Predicted
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12Western Michigan University-1.30-0.94vs Predicted
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13Hope College-2.27-0.71vs Predicted
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14University of Toledo-0.26-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95University of Minnesota1.570.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Wisconsin0.720.1%1st Place
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9.44Marquette University-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Notre Dame1.240.1%1st Place
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7.21Purdue University0.610.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Wisconsin2.090.2%1st Place
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6.19University of Illinois1.040.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Michigan2.030.2%1st Place
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5.94Grand Valley State University1.180.1%1st Place
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4.06Northwestern University1.950.2%1st Place
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11.06Western Michigan University-1.300.0%1st Place
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12.29Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Toledo-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Eaton | 11.0% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tye Rubin | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Karl Wagerson | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 24.3% | 18.0% | 3.8% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rishab Nayar | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 18.2% | 19.5% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Falconer | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 17.7% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Walz | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 16.6% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Resnick | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 37.8% | 20.9% |
| Justin Edick | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 6.4% | 15.3% | 70.1% |
| Brian Pribe | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 24.4% | 18.9% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.