Race 7A

mcsa-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ryder Easterlin 14.1% 14.9% 14.5% 12.8% 12.2% 10.7% 9.9% 5.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Carl Eaton 10.5% 10.6% 10.2% 13.6% 12.1% 11.1% 9.7% 9.8% 6.4% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Brian Pribe 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.7% 3.5% 5.3% 8.4% 12.1% 17.1% 23.8% 17.3% 3.1%
Tye Rubin 3.8% 5.4% 4.4% 6.8% 6.9% 9.8% 11.2% 12.0% 12.6% 14.6% 9.5% 2.6% 0.4%
Jenna Probst 17.2% 16.5% 15.4% 12.2% 12.1% 9.5% 7.5% 4.9% 2.9% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam Walz 7.6% 6.9% 9.3% 8.8% 11.1% 10.2% 12.8% 11.6% 9.5% 8.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Justin Falconer 7.1% 6.7% 8.3% 7.4% 9.5% 9.6% 11.4% 12.5% 13.2% 9.1% 4.0% 1.2% 0.0%
Christian Cyrul 14.5% 15.0% 12.0% 15.3% 13.1% 11.2% 7.1% 6.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Rishab Nayar 4.0% 4.3% 4.5% 5.1% 6.2% 9.0% 9.3% 14.5% 14.4% 13.6% 10.5% 3.9% 0.7%
Jonathan Bailey 17.8% 16.5% 16.7% 12.7% 10.2% 8.7% 8.3% 4.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Joshua Spano 0.5% 0.1% 0.8% 0.3% 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 3.3% 6.0% 8.4% 15.6% 38.2% 22.4%
Karl Wagerson 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 2.7% 2.3% 4.8% 4.7% 6.0% 11.1% 16.1% 25.9% 17.1% 4.6%
Justin Edick 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 1.1% 0.8% 1.7% 3.3% 4.7% 18.0% 68.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.