Race 8A

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Christian Cyrul 14.0% 14.8% 14.8% 13.2% 12.8% 10.2% 8.8% 5.5% 3.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Carl Eaton 10.1% 12.0% 10.2% 10.9% 13.2% 11.0% 10.5% 9.2% 6.9% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Brian Pribe 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 2.2% 2.1% 4.2% 5.1% 8.0% 11.9% 16.8% 26.8% 15.1% 3.3%
Justin Falconer 5.9% 6.1% 6.4% 8.2% 9.5% 10.9% 12.3% 13.0% 11.7% 10.0% 4.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Jenna Probst 18.1% 14.7% 16.2% 12.5% 11.5% 9.7% 7.7% 4.4% 3.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Karl Wagerson 0.9% 2.3% 2.2% 3.2% 2.7% 3.7% 5.2% 7.4% 10.8% 17.0% 24.2% 16.8% 3.6%
Jonathan Bailey 18.6% 16.8% 15.3% 13.6% 10.2% 8.6% 8.7% 4.8% 2.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryder Easterlin 14.3% 15.9% 13.8% 13.3% 13.0% 10.8% 7.8% 5.8% 2.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam Walz 7.0% 6.6% 7.8% 9.5% 9.0% 12.0% 11.5% 12.8% 10.3% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Tye Rubin 5.1% 4.4% 5.7% 5.8% 7.5% 8.6% 10.1% 12.0% 14.9% 13.7% 9.1% 2.6% 0.5%
Rishab Nayar 3.9% 4.0% 5.4% 6.8% 6.9% 8.4% 9.8% 12.8% 16.3% 14.2% 8.0% 3.1% 0.4%
Joshua Spano 0.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 3.1% 3.9% 7.3% 13.4% 39.7% 25.9%
Justin Edick 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 2.7% 6.7% 19.4% 66.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.