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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.28+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.24+0.16vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-0.56+5.45vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.31+2.15vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.16+1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.37-0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.16+0.26vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.49-2.47vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois0.30-2.88vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.00-0.56vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-1.36-1.88vs Predicted
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13University of Toledo-0.48-4.70vs Predicted
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14Hope College-1.95-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of Michigan1.280.1%1st Place
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2.16University of Wisconsin2.240.4%1st Place
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8.45Western Michigan University-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.15Purdue University0.310.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Wisconsin0.160.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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5.53Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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6.12University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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9.44Northwestern University-1.000.0%1st Place
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10.12Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Toledo-0.480.0%1st Place
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11.45Hope College-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Goulet | 15.0% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bartel | 43.2% | 26.5% | 14.7% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenzie Frame | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 5.7% |
| Mehmet Karatoprak | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Katie Carlson | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Clara Brown | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rivkin | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Shapiro | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 13.4% |
| Sarah Corder | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 23.3% | 21.3% |
| John Lowry | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Barce | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 18.3% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.