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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.28+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.37+2.96vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.16+3.38vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-0.56+3.24vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois0.30+0.02vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.31-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.16-2.55vs Predicted
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10Marquette University0.49-4.32vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-1.00-1.57vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-1.36-1.90vs Predicted
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13Hope College-1.95-1.58vs Predicted
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14University of Toledo-0.48-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Wisconsin2.240.4%1st Place
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3.74University of Michigan1.280.2%1st Place
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5.96University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.24Western Michigan University-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.02University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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6.04Purdue University0.310.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Wisconsin0.160.1%1st Place
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5.68Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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9.43Northwestern University-1.000.0%1st Place
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10.1Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.42Hope College-1.950.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Toledo-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 42.2% | 26.0% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Goulet | 17.3% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Clara Brown | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| McKenzie Frame | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 5.2% |
| Michael Rivkin | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Mehmet Karatoprak | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Katie Carlson | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Shapiro | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 19.3% | 12.9% |
| Sarah Corder | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 21.9% | 20.3% |
| Andrew Barce | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 52.3% |
| John Lowry | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.