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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.01+3.48vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.24+0.25vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.37+3.07vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.16+3.42vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.16+1.48vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-0.56+2.34vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.49-1.35vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.28-4.16vs Predicted
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9Purdue University0.31-2.79vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-1.58+0.58vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-0.48-3.98vs Predicted
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13Hope College-1.95-1.67vs Predicted
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14Grand Valley State University-1.36-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Northwestern University1.010.1%1st Place
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2.25University of Wisconsin2.240.4%1st Place
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6.07University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Wisconsin0.160.1%1st Place
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8.34Western Michigan University-0.560.0%1st Place
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5.65Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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3.84University of Michigan1.280.2%1st Place
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6.21Purdue University0.310.1%1st Place
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10.58University of Illinois-1.580.0%1st Place
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8.02University of Toledo-0.480.0%1st Place
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11.33Hope College-1.950.0%1st Place
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10.33Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillian Nemeth | 10.3% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bartel | 42.1% | 24.5% | 16.2% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Clara Brown | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Katie Carlson | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| McKenzie Frame | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 3.7% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Connor Goulet | 15.3% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mehmet Karatoprak | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Turenne | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 25.9% | 26.0% |
| John Lowry | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Barce | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 21.2% | 44.3% |
| Sarah Corder | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 23.6% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.