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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+7.45vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.72+3.25vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.98+5.00vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.06+6.85vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.06+1.75vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51+4.25vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.80+2.71vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.29-1.68vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+4.26vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.59+1.07vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.09-3.37vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.45-6.24vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.97-2.80vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.85-4.87vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.46-3.38vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.09-4.96vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.82-9.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Brown University2.225.9%1st Place
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5.25Stanford University2.7214.2%1st Place
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8.0Fordham University1.986.2%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont1.063.4%1st Place
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6.75Bowdoin College2.068.5%1st Place
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10.25Tufts University1.513.4%1st Place
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9.71University of Rhode Island1.803.9%1st Place
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6.32Yale University2.2910.4%1st Place
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13.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.4%1st Place
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11.07Northeastern University1.592.7%1st Place
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7.63Roger Williams University2.097.5%1st Place
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5.76Harvard University2.4512.5%1st Place
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10.2Boston University0.973.4%1st Place
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9.13Brown University1.854.5%1st Place
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11.62Salve Regina University0.462.8%1st Place
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11.04Connecticut College1.092.4%1st Place
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7.73George Washington University1.826.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Stang | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 14.2% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Clark Morris | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% |
| Declan Botwinick | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 30.3% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Robby Meek | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.0% |
| Duncan Craine | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.