Race 12A

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adam Pokras 19.3% 16.8% 15.9% 12.6% 11.9% 8.8% 6.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
William Peterson 21.1% 20.6% 15.2% 14.2% 10.1% 7.1% 5.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Porter 6.4% 8.5% 9.2% 10.7% 11.0% 10.6% 9.8% 11.4% 8.0% 6.5% 3.9% 3.2% 0.8%
Stephen Lue 10.6% 11.3% 11.7% 12.9% 10.6% 11.1% 10.7% 8.2% 6.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.3%
Hannah Tuson-Turner 14.6% 13.1% 15.3% 11.2% 11.9% 10.8% 8.5% 6.3% 3.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Kelsey Rupp 7.2% 6.0% 7.3% 7.8% 9.2% 11.4% 10.0% 10.0% 9.7% 9.1% 6.1% 4.8% 1.4%
Matt Wenner 6.0% 4.8% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 9.2% 9.1% 8.5% 11.7% 11.1% 8.3% 8.4% 3.4%
Bryan Rust 3.8% 4.9% 4.1% 4.5% 6.8% 6.9% 7.6% 8.8% 11.2% 11.7% 13.6% 10.5% 5.6%
Alicia Bernhard 2.4% 3.5% 2.9% 4.6% 5.0% 5.1% 6.6% 8.3% 9.8% 11.7% 14.4% 13.6% 12.1%
Thomas Maher 2.9% 3.8% 3.1% 3.7% 4.2% 5.4% 7.7% 8.8% 9.4% 11.5% 12.7% 13.6% 13.2%
Erika Vranizan 2.9% 3.0% 4.1% 5.8% 6.8% 6.0% 7.4% 10.0% 11.3% 10.7% 12.4% 11.9% 7.7%
John Olson 1.7% 2.5% 3.0% 4.1% 3.7% 5.0% 6.3% 6.3% 9.7% 10.4% 12.3% 17.1% 17.9%
Connor Bescos 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 2.3% 2.6% 3.9% 6.7% 5.4% 8.4% 12.0% 15.8% 37.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.