Race 7B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lillian Nemeth 10.6% 12.9% 13.9% 13.0% 12.3% 11.6% 9.7% 5.7% 5.4% 2.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Connor Goulet 13.5% 18.1% 14.7% 15.7% 11.6% 9.0% 7.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Samuel Bartel 38.8% 23.9% 15.8% 10.6% 4.9% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Leah Peluchiwski 5.1% 6.8% 8.6% 8.9% 11.4% 10.1% 10.0% 10.0% 10.2% 9.1% 6.3% 2.8% 0.7%
Clara Brown 4.0% 4.1% 5.4% 6.1% 6.5% 9.1% 9.1% 9.0% 12.3% 13.1% 10.3% 8.4% 2.6%
Katie Carlson 5.1% 5.2% 6.9% 8.5% 9.2% 9.4% 10.8% 11.4% 10.4% 9.0% 7.8% 5.3% 1.0%
Michael Rivkin 6.3% 6.2% 8.4% 9.8% 8.9% 9.6% 9.3% 12.7% 10.1% 8.7% 6.5% 2.9% 0.6%
Solomon Dworsky 6.0% 8.4% 9.7% 9.1% 10.1% 11.2% 13.3% 9.4% 9.0% 7.3% 4.4% 1.8% 0.3%
Mehmet Karatoprak 5.4% 7.0% 7.5% 8.1% 10.3% 9.9% 10.9% 10.7% 9.5% 9.2% 6.7% 4.1% 0.7%
McKenzie Frame 2.6% 2.8% 3.3% 4.7% 4.6% 6.1% 6.4% 9.3% 10.2% 12.1% 16.1% 14.1% 7.7%
Andrew Barce 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.7% 1.1% 2.1% 3.6% 3.5% 6.8% 8.6% 20.5% 49.7%
John Lowry 1.4% 3.3% 3.7% 3.5% 5.9% 6.6% 6.4% 8.8% 10.6% 10.9% 17.9% 13.4% 7.6%
Sarah Corder 0.7% 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 2.6% 2.7% 2.6% 4.7% 5.7% 9.5% 12.9% 26.1% 29.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.