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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+0.74vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-1.80+2.87vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.12-0.44vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.96-0.10vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.31-0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.60-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74University of Washington0.950.5%1st Place
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4.87University of Victoria-1.800.0%1st Place
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2.56Western Washington University0.120.2%1st Place
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3.9Western Washington University-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.44Western Washington University-1.310.0%1st Place
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3.48University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 51.9% | 30.8% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Anthony Clark | 2.8% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 20.9% | 47.7% |
| Niko Twilla | 22.8% | 28.5% | 26.7% | 15.0% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Carter Dojan | 8.2% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 25.1% | 25.6% | 13.7% |
| Karey Sharp | 3.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 27.0% | 29.5% |
| Lukas Koch | 10.9% | 14.6% | 24.5% | 23.1% | 19.3% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.