← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.95+0.66vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.12+0.38vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.96+0.60vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-1.31+0.08vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria-1.69-0.42vs Predicted
-
6University of Victoria-1.80-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.66University of Washington0.950.6%1st Place
-
2.38Western Washington University0.120.3%1st Place
-
3.6Western Washington University-0.960.1%1st Place
-
4.08Western Washington University-1.310.0%1st Place
-
4.58University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
-
4.69University of Victoria-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 55.7% | 28.3% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Niko Twilla | 25.4% | 35.2% | 21.8% | 12.2% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 8.4% | 14.3% | 24.7% | 22.9% | 20.5% | 9.2% |
| Karey Sharp | 4.4% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 24.1% | 25.4% | 17.6% |
| Gillian Craig | 2.9% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 19.8% | 25.2% | 33.5% |
| Anthony Clark | 3.2% | 4.6% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 23.6% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.