← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.95+0.76vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University-0.96+1.88vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.12-0.41vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-1.31+0.37vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria-0.60-1.42vs Predicted
-
6University of Victoria-1.69-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.76University of Washington0.950.5%1st Place
-
3.88Western Washington University-0.960.1%1st Place
-
2.59Western Washington University0.120.2%1st Place
-
4.37Western Washington University-1.310.1%1st Place
-
3.58University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
-
4.83University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 53.2% | 28.0% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Carter Dojan | 6.7% | 13.5% | 19.0% | 22.8% | 22.4% | 15.6% |
| Niko Twilla | 22.0% | 30.2% | 24.0% | 16.1% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Karey Sharp | 5.5% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 20.7% | 26.2% | 27.4% |
| Lukas Koch | 9.6% | 16.2% | 22.5% | 21.6% | 18.8% | 11.3% |
| Gillian Craig | 3.0% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 25.2% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.