Race 13A

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
William Peterson 21.5% 18.4% 16.9% 13.7% 11.5% 7.4% 4.6% 3.3% 1.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Tuson-Turner 12.8% 14.3% 13.3% 13.6% 12.7% 9.6% 7.4% 6.9% 5.3% 2.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Matt Wenner 4.0% 4.1% 5.1% 7.0% 7.9% 8.5% 9.5% 11.7% 11.4% 10.7% 8.9% 7.4% 3.8%
Adam Pokras 19.3% 17.2% 14.7% 14.3% 10.3% 9.5% 6.3% 3.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1%
Stephen Lue 11.7% 11.0% 13.6% 11.2% 11.3% 10.6% 10.3% 8.3% 5.2% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4%
Jack Porter 8.3% 9.0% 9.2% 10.0% 9.8% 11.6% 11.5% 7.9% 7.9% 6.8% 4.5% 3.0% 0.5%
John Olson 3.0% 3.2% 2.8% 3.4% 4.9% 5.2% 5.1% 6.8% 9.6% 11.4% 13.1% 18.3% 13.2%
Thomas Maher 2.9% 3.7% 3.2% 2.9% 5.3% 4.5% 7.9% 8.3% 9.0% 12.9% 14.8% 13.1% 11.5%
Alicia Bernhard 3.1% 3.2% 3.0% 4.7% 4.7% 5.2% 6.4% 7.7% 11.1% 11.3% 12.7% 14.4% 12.5%
Bryan Rust 4.3% 4.3% 3.7% 4.0% 6.7% 7.6% 7.8% 10.5% 10.3% 11.2% 10.7% 11.0% 7.9%
Kelsey Rupp 6.2% 6.8% 8.8% 8.4% 9.0% 10.4% 11.6% 10.9% 8.5% 8.3% 5.8% 3.6% 1.7%
Connor Bescos 0.8% 1.7% 1.5% 2.4% 1.8% 3.6% 4.5% 4.8% 5.6% 8.7% 11.2% 15.9% 37.5%
Erika Vranizan 2.1% 3.1% 4.2% 4.4% 4.1% 6.3% 7.1% 9.1% 12.0% 11.0% 14.1% 11.7% 10.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.