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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.72+3.92vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.06+4.75vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+4.97vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.45+1.68vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.98+2.58vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.29+0.17vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.85+2.08vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09-0.65vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51+0.74vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.46+1.36vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.59-0.22vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.06-1.45vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.80-3.25vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.70-1.99vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-2.26vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.09-5.37vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.97-7.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Stanford University2.7215.8%1st Place
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6.75Bowdoin College2.068.6%1st Place
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7.97Brown University2.226.7%1st Place
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5.68Harvard University2.4512.2%1st Place
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7.58Fordham University1.987.3%1st Place
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6.17Yale University2.2910.3%1st Place
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9.08Brown University1.854.2%1st Place
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7.35Roger Williams University2.097.4%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University1.513.8%1st Place
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11.36Salve Regina University0.462.5%1st Place
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10.78Northeastern University1.593.2%1st Place
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10.55University of Vermont1.063.5%1st Place
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9.75University of Rhode Island1.804.2%1st Place
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12.01George Washington University0.702.1%1st Place
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12.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.8%1st Place
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10.63Connecticut College1.092.5%1st Place
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9.94Boston University0.974.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 15.8% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Mason Stang | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Robby Meek | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Oliver Stokke | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Clark Morris | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 12.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% |
| Declan Botwinick | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 16.6% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 24.6% |
| Duncan Craine | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.