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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.95+0.76vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.12+0.56vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.60+0.43vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.96-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-1.69-0.12vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.31-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76University of Washington0.950.5%1st Place
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2.56Western Washington University0.120.2%1st Place
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3.43University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.96Western Washington University-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Victoria-1.690.0%1st Place
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4.4Western Washington University-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 51.8% | 28.0% | 14.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Niko Twilla | 23.5% | 29.8% | 23.7% | 14.9% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Lukas Koch | 10.6% | 16.8% | 24.5% | 22.3% | 18.3% | 7.5% |
| Carter Dojan | 7.0% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 25.9% | 23.2% | 16.1% |
| Gillian Craig | 2.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 22.9% | 46.8% |
| Karey Sharp | 4.5% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 18.8% | 27.8% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.