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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+0.37vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-1.80+2.93vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.12-0.31vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.96-0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.60-1.38vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.31-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.37University of Washington1.740.7%1st Place
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4.93University of Victoria-1.800.0%1st Place
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2.69Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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3.97Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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3.62University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.42Western Washington University-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 72.0% | 20.7% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Clark | 1.4% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 49.5% |
| Niko Twilla | 13.9% | 35.6% | 26.8% | 16.3% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Carter Dojan | 4.3% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 26.3% | 24.0% | 14.4% |
| Lukas Koch | 5.4% | 18.1% | 24.5% | 22.5% | 20.0% | 9.5% |
| Karey Sharp | 3.0% | 7.6% | 14.7% | 19.4% | 30.1% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.